Eastern Conference · Southeast

Miami Heat

0-1 · East #15 · 1.5 GB · L1

Standings as of Oct 23, 10:16 AM EDT · odds from 1,000,000 simulated lotteries · seeds use NBA.com's official tiebreakers

Projected: the Play-In hasn't been played, so each conference's current 8 seed stands in as the 7-vs-8 loser (1 ball).

Own pick

Missed the Play-In

#1 pick

8.6%

Top 5

41.4%

Avg pick

7.4

Most likely: 1st (8.6%), 2nd (8.5%), 3rd (8.3%)

Top-14 protected: MIA keeps 93%

#1 pick odds after each nightly 1M-lottery update. The chart fills in as the season goes: 1 day so far.

Show as table

Date	Record	#1	Top 5	Avg pick
Oct 23	0-1	8.6%	41.4%	7.4

Miami's pick goes to Charlotte unless it lands 1-14. Under the 16-team lottery, picks 15 and 16 are lottery picks that do convey.